This Is Why We
Can't Have Nice Things
"Show me your budget and I'll show you your values."
In 2025, the Trump Administration and a GOP-led Congress passed the One Big Beautiful Bill.
Here's what they funded — and what they cut.
15-MINUTE READ
Every family has a number.
The one that keeps them up at night.
Same Squeeze.
Almost Every Bracket.
Maria is a home health aide in rural Tennessee. The hospital 20 minutes from her house closed last year — there wasn't enough Medicaid revenue to keep it open. Now the nearest ER is 45 minutes away. Her neighbor had a stroke last month. The ambulance ride alone cost more than a month's rent.
David is a software architect in Sunnyvale. His family premium is $28,000 a year — and his deductible is another $1,955 before insurance pays a dime. He has "good" insurance. His daughter's insulin still costs money at every refill.
They live different lives. But the same consolidated hospital system sets both their prices. The Bill cut $990 billion from Medicaid over ten years. When rural hospitals close, the nearest hospital raises prices by 3.6% — because there's no competition left. That cost shift lands on every employer plan.
You used to spend $150 a week on groceries. Now it's $190 for the same cart. You make adjustments — store brand, fewer organic options, skipping the good olive oil. You can absorb it. It's annoying, not catastrophic.
For Linda, 62, in Akron, that same price increase means choosing between her blood pressure medication and a full week of meals. She's one of 2.4 million people losing SNAP benefits. She spent 35 years as a school bus driver. She's not lazy. She's caught in an economy where a handful of corporations dominate every aisle — four companies control 85% of beef processing alone — and the biggest food conglomerates posted record profits in 2022 and 2023 while raising prices on everyone.
Grocery prices rose 23.6% from 2020 to 2024. Corporate margins in food processing hit historic highs. Congress cut $187 billion from SNAP — the only counterweight families had against prices they can't negotiate.
And now the price tag isn't even fixed. Instacart is under FTC investigation for charging different customers different prices for the same gallon of milk — up to 23% more depending on when and where you order. Kroger and Walmart are rolling out digital shelf labels that can change prices instantly — technology lawmakers warn could enable surge pricing in the physical store. The algorithm doesn't just set the price. It sets your price.
James bought his house in San Jose in 2015 for $680,000. It's worth $1.4 million now. Good news, right? Except his property tax jumped proportionally, his insurance doubled and his 26-year-old daughter — a credentialed teacher — just told him she'll never be able to buy anywhere near home. He's doing the math on helping with a down payment. It feels like he's subsidizing a system that used to work on its own.
This isn't just a Bay Area story. When a tech company opens a campus, home prices nearby rise about 7% within two years. San Jose approved Google's Downtown West campus for 25,000 workers and 4,000 homes. Google paused it in 2023 and the cleared site sits empty. Do the math either way. The same pattern is playing out in Austin, Seattle, Nashville and Boise. What happens in Silicon Valley doesn't stay in Silicon Valley.
Across town, Nina's rent went up $200 this month. Her landlord didn't renovate anything. RealPage's algorithm told every major landlord in her zip code to raise rents simultaneously — the DOJ sued in 2024 and RealPage settled in May 2026. She makes $52,000 a year as a medical assistant. Half of all renters now spend more than 30% of their income on housing.
Institutional investors own 25% of single-family rentals in some markets. The same forces driving up James's property values are driving Nina out of her apartment and pricing his daughter out of homeownership entirely.
Priya is a marketing manager in Austin earning $85,000. Her husband is an electrician earning $62,000. They have a toddler and an infant. Childcare for two kids: $26,000 a year. After taxes, commuting costs and work clothes, her take-home from working is barely $6,200 more than if she stayed home. She's working full-time for $3 an hour, net.
She doesn't want to quit. She spent six years building her career. But the math is brutal — and it's the same math facing families at every income level. Even households earning $200K are technically priced out of childcare by federal affordability standards in many cities.
The bill expanded childcare tax breaks that mostly reach higher earners and left the Child Care and Development Block Grant flat while costs keep rising. When subsidies don't keep pace, centers lose revenue. They raise rates, cut staff or close — about 16,000 programs shut down between 2019 and 2021, and closures continued as relief money ran out. Childcare workers earn a median of $15/hour. The entire system depends on workers who can barely afford to live.
Immigration enforcement compounds it: immigrant women — many of them mothers themselves — make up a disproportionate share of the home-based childcare workforce. When they're pulled from their communities, families on both sides lose: the workers lose their livelihoods, and the parents who depended on them lose the only affordable care they had.
Tyler is 25. He graduated from Ohio State with a computer science degree and $38,000 in student loans. Under the new law, he'll pay $3,000 more per year in loan costs. His starting salary is decent — $72,000 — but after rent, loan payments, car insurance and utilities, he saves about $200 a month. His parents help where they can — covering his phone bill and car insurance, $250 a month they didn't budget for. Half of all parents are now financially supporting adult children, spending an average of $1,474 a month. Sixty-one percent say it's come at the cost of their own financial security.
Twenty minutes away, a kid just as sharp is stocking shelves at a distribution center for $17 an hour. His high school lost three math teachers in two years — one in eight teaching positions nationally is either unfilled or staffed by someone not certified. He could have studied engineering. But community college costs $12,000 a year now, and Pell Grants that covered 80% of the cost of a public college in 1975 cover 27% today. The job posting says "bachelor's preferred." He didn't change. The requirements did.
The administration killed the SAVE repayment plan and restarted collections against the 7.7 million borrowers in default. College tuition has increased 1,200% since 1980. Total student debt exceeds $1.86 trillion. But the crisis isn't just about people who went to college. It's about an economy that made credentials mandatory and then made them unaffordable. The path to stability got longer and more expensive for everyone — and the people who were supposed to fund it pulled the ladder up.
The fossil fuel industry receives $35 billion a year in federal subsidies. The 2025 law handed them about $40 billion more over the decade. Solar is now 41% cheaper than the cheapest fossil fuel alternative. Wind is 53% cheaper. The math has been clear for years. The subsidies aren't propping up an industry that needs help. They're protecting margins for one that doesn't.
Meanwhile, your electric bill keeps climbing. Part of the reason: data centers now use about 4% of U.S. electricity, heading toward 12% by 2028. A single data center uses as much power as 80,000 homes. In western Maryland, household bills jumped $18 a month after data-center demand drove up regional capacity prices. The companies posting record profits from AI aren't absorbing the energy costs. You are.
Low-income households already spend three times more of their income on energy than everyone else. Rolling back environmental regulations doesn't lower those bills — it lowers costs for the companies that raised them. Repealing EPA carbon standards will cost up to $130 billion in health damage through 2047. In 2024, 27 billion-dollar weather disasters hit the U.S. — $183 billion in total damage. Homeowner insurance premiums rose 24% in three years. The fossil fuel industry spent $219 million to influence the 2024 election. They're not paying for the damage. You are — through your electric bill, your insurance premium and your taxes.
Pull Up a Chair
Step into the life of a household navigating safety net cuts — a single mom losing Medicaid, a retired couple watching SNAP shrink, a family choosing between childcare and rent — and make the decisions they can’t avoid.
Launch the Simulator →The Other Bills You're Paying
The Bill is one piece. Tariffs, deregulation, mass detention and a war Congress never authorized are compounding the squeeze from every direction.
Tariffs
After the Supreme Court struck the emergency tariffs in February, the administration rebuilt them under other statutes: a 12.5% add-on for China and 10% for most other trading partners. The Yale Budget Lab puts the cost at about $1,100 per household a year — down from a $2,600 peak in 2025 and still a consumption tax that hits lower and middle incomes hardest, at the register, in the supply chain and on every construction site in America.
DOGE & Deregulation
When you fire the referees, the players set their own rules. The CFPB can't stop predatory lending. The FDA can't inspect your food. The IRS can't audit wealthy tax cheats — and the country's unpaid tax bill runs $606 billion a year. The cost of deregulation shows up in every bill you pay.
ICE Actions
Neighbors reported. Parents separated at school pickup. Small businesses losing the people who built them. Churches afraid to open their doors. The 2025 law gave ICE roughly $75 billion over four years — not to make communities safer, but to make them afraid. The cost isn't just dollars. It's our values, social fabric and moral leadership.
War in Iran
The war has cost at least $38 billion in Pentagon spending through August 1, by CBO's count — about $3 billion a month. Congress never authorized it. Both chambers passed a war powers resolution in June, months in, and the strikes continued. Nobody asked you. The defense budget was the one line on the receipt nobody touched.
They're not buying homes.
They're buying neighborhoods.
The cost of living has gone so high, it kinda offsets everything I do to bring money in.— Resident of Venice, Illinois · Economic Security Project, "The Affordability Framework," October 2025
Concentrated economic power raises prices.
The burden falls on working families.
Who's Setting the Prices
Every cost you just saw traces back to specific companies and specific decisions. Click to investigate.
Data: Economic Security Project, CBO, BLS, KFF, NAR, Federal Reserve, DOJ
Show us a budget and we’ll show you a values system.
Values aren’t a set of beliefs. They are a set of actions. What we fund. Who we fight for. What we’re willing to name out loud, sacrifice for and vote for. Change happens when enough people start making different decisions — in how they work, who they center, what they refuse to normalize and what they decide to build instead.
That shift is slow and intentional. It has always been. And it has always been possible.
mBOLDen Change is in that work. We’d like you in it with us.
Make sure someone else sees this.
Next time they hold a town hall, bring this:
Methodology & Sources
Figures as of October 2026.
ICE Budget: $9.31B base enacted FY2025 (DHS Appropriations); the 2025 reconciliation law added roughly $75B for ICE over FY2025–2029 (Cato Institute; Center for American Progress). Detention figures from TRAC, Syracuse University, July 2026.
Pentagon Budget: $831.3B DoD enacted FY2025 under the full-year continuing resolution ($849.8B requested).
Price ticker: Milk (BLS CPI, Sept 2026); insulin (HHS ASPE, average out-of-pocket per fill, private insurance); rent (Zillow Observed Rent Index, Sept 2026); childcare (Child Care Aware 2025); premiums and deductible (KFF 2026 Employer Health Benefits Survey); home price (NAR, Sept 2026); student debt (U.S. Dept. of Education); tariff cost (Yale Budget Lab, July 2026); energy (Energy Innovation, by 2035).
Healthcare data: about 10M losing coverage from the law's provisions by 2034 (CBO) plus about 4M from the ACA credit expiration (CBO), roughly 15M; family premiums from KFF 2026; 100 million Americans owe $220B+ in medical debt per Peterson-KFF (2021 data); rural hospital price effect from University of Minnesota / Health Affairs, 2025; ACA premium increase from Center for American Progress, June 2025.
Food data: SNAP cuts $187B/10yr per CBO estimate of P.L. 119-21. 2.4M lose benefits in an average month (CBO). Grocery prices +23.6% 2020–2024 from USDA ERS/BLS CPI. Beef concentration from USDA ERS.
Housing data: Median home price from NAR, Sept 2026. Cost-burdened renters from Harvard JCHS 2025. RealPage from DOJ lawsuit, Aug 2024, settled May 2026; $70/mo from White House Council of Economic Advisers, Dec 2024. Institutional investor share from GAO. Tech-campus price effect from Chapple & Jeon, Economic Development Quarterly, 2021.
Childcare data: Costs from Child Care Aware 2025/Care.com/Dept of Labor. Program closures 2019–2021 from Child Care Aware. Income shares from Child Care Aware 2025.
Energy/Education: $170/yr by 2035 from Energy Innovation, July 2025. $3,000/yr from Protect Borrowers, June 2025. Student debt total from Federal Reserve G.19, Q2 2026; per-borrower average and default count from U.S. Dept. of Education. Pell coverage from CBPP. Teacher vacancies from Learning Policy Institute.
Distributional analysis: Bottom 10% −3.1%, top 10% +2.7%, average annual effect 2026–2034, from CBO distributional analysis of Public Law 119-21, August 2025.
Parents supporting adult children: Savings.com 2025 survey; Bankrate 2024.
Google campus data: Downtown West approved by San Jose City Council, May 2021 (4,000 homes); project paused 2023.
Prop 22: California Secretary of State campaign finance records, 2020.
Iran operations: CBO, Estimating the Cost of Combat Operations Against Iran, September 2026.
Tax gap: IRS Publication 5869, October 2024 (TY2022 estimates). Net gap $606B.
Insurance premiums: Consumer Federation of America, March 2025. 24% increase 2021–2024.
Affordability Framework: Economic Security Project, "The Affordability Framework," October 2025.